Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 11:30 AM EST
1:00 PM EST. If one listened to the pundits last week, one would have thought that Eagles backup quarterback Nick Foles couldn't walk and chew bubble gum at the same time, as he and the team got totally written off by just about everyone that had a take on that Sunday nighter in Los Angeles. What was most shocking perhaps is that Foles didn't have to be great in victory, as the Eagles defense picked up the slack and kept Jared Goff out of the end zone, while also limiting Todd Gurley to under 50 yards rushing.
While it's going to be really hard to ignore the Eagles 30-23 win over the Rams last Sunday night, it's important to remember not to overvalue one game, especially if it's a high profile prime-time performance. Remember, it was just a week ago when it was announced that Carson Wentz would not play in that SNF showdown in Los Angeles and that line moved from the Eagles taking back nine points to 13½. Now Philadelphia is the betting favorite against a Texans side that was the hottest team in football just a couple of weeks ago. That's a 16-point swing over seven days and if we are in the business of over and under reactions, this game fits the bill.
The Texans are 10-4, but if you bet them last Saturday against the Jets, that was probably the luckiest cover you had in 2018 if you spotted -6½ and the luckiest push if you spotted -7. The Ravens win on Saturday means that the Texans have not clinched a playoff spot yet, thus, motivation figures to be high with a division title and a first-round bye in its sights. The health of receiver DeAndre Hopkins has been a major talking point all week, as the star was limited in practice, but all signs point to him being ok to suit up and at least serve as a decoy. Hopkins is unusual in this day in age in that he's a legit stud, but you never hear a peep out of him. He's not a diva like Antonio Brown, a knucklehead like Josh Gordon or a headline seeker like Odell Beckham. Instead, all Hopkins does is ball and he was huge in that win over the Jets with his season-high 10 catches for 170 yards and a pair of touchdowns.
More importantly, if this game was played last week, there is little doubt that the Texans would have been favored and thus, what we have here is a clear case of recency bias in effect not to mention a massive letdown and sandwich spot for the Eagles.
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Houston +113 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.26)