Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 12:00 PM EST.
1:00 PM EST. The Cincinnati Bengals have dropped five in a row. Along the way they lost Andy Dalton and A.J. Green and also lost by scores of 51-14 to New Orleans, 35-20 to the Browns and 24-10 to the Broncos. Last week the Bengals closed as a 16½-point dog to the Chargers and although they covered easily, the market is not going to give the Bengals much credit for a game that the Chargers were completely uninterested in with the well-documented big game versus the Chiefs on deck. The narrative surrounding the Bengals and replacement QB Jeff Driskel is that the entire team is just playing out a bad hand. Cinci’s stock is still one of the lowest in the business.
We never thought we’d be suggesting that the Raiders stock is high but here we are in Week 15 and that’s precisely the case. The Raiders stock isn’t Dallas Cowboys-high for instance but among the dregs in this league and that includes the Bengals, Oakland’s stock is soaring after beating the Steelers last week and coming within a whisker of beating the Chiefs the week prior. Furthermore, Derek Carr has thrown for over 600 yards combined the past two weeks with five TD’s and no interceptions. Three weeks ago, the Raiders were in Baltimore and although they lost 34-17, that game was 20-17 going to the fourth quarter. Yes indeed, Jon Gruden has these Raiders trending in the right direction and we’re going to be first in line to bring the hammer down against them.
We highly doubt that the Bengals are not showing up here in its final home game of the season. Surely, they don’t want to embarrass themselves against a weak team. And what about the Raiders? After two massively intense games against teams they wanted to play and do well against, the Raiders will head to the frigid East Coast where it is forecast to be below freezing (9° F - 1° C) for a 1 PM EST start for their most meaningless game of the year sandwiched right down the middle between Kansas City, Pittsburgh and the following two games. The Raiders close out the season with a big game at home against Denver next week with a chance to knock the Broncos out of the playoff picture and then they end the year in Kansas City. Seriously, what motivation will this rancid team bring with them this week? This game is nothing more than a massive inconvenience for the Raiders and we’ll look to exploit not only the unfavorable situation but the buy-low, sell high angle too.
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CINCINNATI -3 -110 (Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)