Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 11:30 AM EST.
1:00 PM EST. The Colts are 7-6, but they’re also a bounce or two away from being much better than that. With a great quarterback and an entirely under the radar defense, Indy is a still threat to make the playoffs. A big reason for the Colts turnaround on defense has been Darius Leonard, as he leads the league in tackles. He's averaging over 11 tackles per game, which is the most by a rookie in almost two decades. Leonard is from unknown South Carolina State, but he burst onto the national scene after his effort in the Senior Bowl. Leonard is one of those players that can see it and sniff it out before it happens and he's able to go sideline to sideline with ease and he is absolutely in the conversation for Defensive Rookie of the Year. The Colts are on a nice run (6-1), but they are not getting the same love from this market as the surging and very popular Cowboys.
What a difference a couple of months can make, as the Cowboys and czar Jerry Jones were getting raked over the coals for trading a first-round draft pick for underperforming wide receiver Amari Cooper. Dallas is now 5-1 since the deal went down and firmly in control of the NFC East and Jones is getting consideration for "Executive of the Year." Since arriving in Big D, Cooper leads the league in yards (642) and touchdowns (six). Sure multiple injuries removed the Redskins from the equation, as will the apparent season-ending back injury suffered by Carson Wentz, but wins are all that matter and the Cowboys are racking them up. A victory here for Dallas would have it clinch the division and when a popular public team like Dallas starts to gain steam, it does not take long for its price to become inflated. The margin of victory in those five straight wins by Dallas is just 5.4 points with last Sunday's 29-23 win over the Eagles coming in overtime. On paper, it should have been a blowout in favor of the 'Boys, as they outgained Philly by 320 yards. A 13-10 smothering of the high flying Saints on Thursday Night Football in Week 13 carries a ton of weight as well, as Dak Prescott outgunned Drew Brees. Prescott had been highly criticized earlier in the season, but he is coming off a 455-yard passing game against the Eagles and now his stock is also trading at a premium. Have we not seen this movie dozens of times already? As soon as the Cowboys get rolling and expectations are high, they hit the skids like a ton of bricks. Can one player make that much difference? Probably not a player like Amari Cooper but it has coincided with said success so he’s getting a lot of credit. Dak Prescott is not a great QB. The Dallas Cowboys were beatable for weeks and they’re still beatable, especially on the road against an AFC opponent after two big wins and finally, and most importantly, we get Andrew Luck and the Colts at a discount. Merry Christmas to you too.
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INDIANAPOLIS -3 -110 (Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)