BEST LINES:  Pinnacle -3 +106 BET 365 -3 -110 SportsInteraction -3 +100 5DIMES -3 +101

Posted at 10:30 AM EST.

4:05 PM EST. There are some 2½ out there with some extra vigor added but we’ll clear that right up and take this to -3. In other words, we’re going to sell a half point and take back a small price.  

The market loves scoring and the Saints have been one of the top producers in that area for most of the Drew Brees era. The 38-year-old future Hall of Famer is having one of his most productive seasons yet. There's no denying what Brees has done so far in 2018, which includes a 122.3 QB rating, an incredible 77.9 completion percentage and 11 touchdowns to no interceptions. On top of that success, the Saints are coming off one of the most memorable nights of the season, as Brees broke the all-time NFL passing yards record on just about the grandest stage possible, Monday Night Football. Everything about that Week 5 closer against the Redskins set up perfectly for Brees and it's almost as if it were scripted. It wasn't of course, as the NFL obviously had some idea that he'd be in range to pass Peyton Manning when that game was ready to kick off and the league got precisely what it wanted, which is no shock. While the Saints effort on that night is going to turn some heads, that was less a game and more a spectacle. It's also important to note that the Saints first three touchdown drives were entirely penalty aided and in the blink of an eye it was 21-6 and Washington's train was off the tracks. In the almost two weeks since breaking the record, Brees has been making all the rounds that come with such an accolade, but he could be in for a rude awakening here, as it’s time to get back to business after shaking hands and kissing all the babies. The Ravens will be licking their chops to get a piece of one of the all-time greats.

Baltimore shutout the Titans on Sunday, but Tennessee was already trending downward in the market after being a popular pick and losing outright in Buffalo in Week 5. Pitching a shutout against the offensively impaired Titans isn't likely to resonate, but it should. The Ravens D is not one of these units that have significantly benefited from generating turnovers either, as they have just six takeaways in 2018. That puts them near the bottom of the league. Now most pundits would criticize a low number of turnovers, but we're here to tell you that Baltimore's defense is actually better because they aren't relying on a luck-based statistic to get by. It's not as if Baltimore is a one trick pony either, as its special teams sit just outside the top five (sixth) and its offense is ranked a respectable 13th. Overall, the Ravens are the number four ranked DVOA squad, but are not being given the respect in the market that comes with being one of the league's top teams because they are boring and going in the opposite direction of the mainstream market darlings. The Ravens play defense and don’t light up the scoreboard like the Saints, Chiefs, Falcons, Packers, Patriots or Steelers. Baltimore’s D is #1 in sacks, they are #1 in scoring defense and they’re #1 in total defense. The Ravens win games but they are not entertaining. They’re the opposite of the Chiefs but they’re suffocating on defense in a year where nobody else is. If you’re looking for a “Super Bowl” sleeper, Baltimore would be it but they are so far under the radar because they don’t put up video game like numbers. The Ravens now catch the Saints at the perfect time and because they’re so far under the radar, we get them at a real bargain or deflated price. Pencil us in for that.

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