BEST LINES:  Pinnacle +10 -101 BET 365 +10 -105 SportsInteraction +10 -105 5DIMES +10 -106

Posted at 11:00 AM EST.

1:00 PM EST. At 2-3, Buffalo doesn't have the league's worst record, but a deep dive shows it sports the 32nd ranked offense with a -51.8% DVOA. That's 22-points lower than the 31st place Cardinals. That Week 3 road shocker at Minny was a total outlier for the Bills, in that is was the only road game this season where they weren't outgained by their opponents. The Bills net yards in that Vikings game was a big fat zero, which shows the final score was very misleading and entirely turnover aided. Buffalo was a popular fade last week at home to the Titans, but it did some damage in the market winning that game outright 13-12. That contest was as ugly as that final score would indicate and it took a last-second field goal for the Bills to seal the deal. Getting their first win at home in such dramatic fashion has to be a huge weight off their shoulders and it could set the Bills up for a letdown spot here. Buffalo closed as a six-point pooch on Sunday, but asking the league's worst offense and a rookie pivot to cover an inflated number at home is a much different scenario than backing them to compete on the road against a hungry and underpriced favorite that is coming off a not so great prime-time showing against the offense-less Dallas Cowboys.

The Texans have won their last two games by the slimmest of margins with a pair of three points OT wins over the Colts and Cowboys respectively. That squeaker on Sunday night against Dallas should never have been as close as it was. On the surface, Houston outgained the Cowboys by 170 yards, dominated first downs 25 to 14 and won the time of possession by over five minutes. The Texans drove the ball up and down the field at will, but walked away with just one major in six trips to the red zone. A 17% conversion rate is brutal and if you backed Houston -3, that was a tough ticket to not cash, as the Texans did everything right, but score points. Houston is actually playing decent ball after putting up nearly 1000 yards of offense the last two weeks. The Texans won both of those games, but this is another one of those clubs that could have more wins under its belt because they’ve been the better team on the field by far in a pair of losses to the Giants and Titans. In their only poor showing this season, which came in Week 1 at New England, the Texans still had a shot to win even after going down 24-6 late in the third quarter. Many teams would have rolled over and died that day, but the Texans kept coming till the very end and showed a lot of guts in a 27-20 loss. Houston went 0-3 to start the year, but lost those games by a combined 15 points. The Texans and Bills are each a game back in their respective division and both have 2-3 records, but equals they are not. Bills get exposed once again in a road games justy like they did against the Packers (22-0) the week after they beat Minnesota.

Open an account today at and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.