Today's Free Picks for
Posted Friday at 1:15 PM EST
1:00 PM EST. The Titans come in 2-1 after defeating the Jags in Week 2 and the Seahawks last week. Tennessee’s 37-16 win over Jacksonville suddenly looks a whole lot better after the Jags torched the Ravens overseas. The Titans are now starting to get some press. All of a sudden, the media has started touting the Titans as a legit threat to make a deep playoff run because they have opened some eyes by lighting up the scoreboard with 70 points between wins over the Jaguars and Seahawks. We gave you the Titans two weeks ago over Jacksonville and also gave you them last week as a Survivor pick to beat Seattle. Now that the market is jumping in on the Titans two weeks too late, we’re jumping off.
Let’s not forget that Tennessee lost to Oakland at home in Week 1, 27-17. Lost in Tennessee’s victory over Seattle last week is that the Seahawks, a team that couldn’t move five yards previously, racked up massive yardage. Russell Wilson threw for a career-best 373 yards and four scores against the Titans but all this market sees is a victory over one of the NFL’s best teams over the past decade. Yes indeed, at home, Tennessee’s defense had trouble with a QB (R. Wilson) that can move his feet. They’ll get the same thing here.
Houston lost to New England but they dominated that game in Foxboro. Had it not been for New England once again getting every bounce into its laps, Houston may have won that game by three TD’s. The previous week, Houston played on a Thursday night in Cincinnati and beat the Bengals 13-9. The Texans are now 1-2 and are without anything impressive. They were torched by the Jags in Week 1 (29-7), they beat Cinci and then lost to New England. However, Tom Savage started against Jacksonville and there were other factors that contributing to the Texans being flat in their opener. What we see is a team with new found hope because of Deshaun Watson. Watson led the Texans to victory over Cincinnati. He threw for over 300 yards last week in New England and will now start his third game of the season here and first at home (he played in Houston’s home opener against Jax but he came in late in relief of Savage). Houston’s new stadium will be rocking big time.
Last season, the Titans were favored on the road twice and went 0-2 against the number, losing 38-17 in Jacksonville and barely getting by the Bears in Chicago. As the chalk in their season opener, they failed to cover that one too. While we’re on board with Tennessee, we’re not ready to bite on them just yet as road chalk because they have not proven to be profitable in that role. We’re still in the buy-low/sell-high business and Tennessee putting up 70 points the last two weeks combined means if you get behind them this week, you would be buying high. The timing to get behind Tennessee here is way off. Its ship sailed two weeks ago while Houston’s stock is still low and in this business, timing is everything. Houston outright is the call.
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HOUSTON +121 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.42)