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-3½ -110 -3½ -110   -3½ -110

Posted at 10:00 AM EST and odds are subject to change.

Washington -3½ over Michigan St

Alaska Airlines Field at Husky Stadium - Seattle, WA

Streaming: ABC

7:30 PM EST. We often play numbers. It is without doubt a criteria we consider when choosing sides. When we see a top-10 ranked side taking back a tag against an unranked opponent, this immediately grabs our attention also. When we consider the teams in play here, it makes this play that much more delicious.

The #9 Michigan State Spartans need no introduction. They were one of last year’s surprise teams and they covered like a madman for most of 2021. Despite stepping into 2022 in the bookmaker’s crosshairs and thus being prone to a “market correction”, Sparty has seemingly picked up right where it left off, winning and covering their first two contests of the new campaign. Given the fact that Michigan State was hosting Western Michigan and Akron, one would expect to pay a premium to back the Spartans. Despite that, the Spartans covered as a 21½-point choice in Week 1 and clobbered a 34½-point tag in Week 2 when they ravaged Akron 52-0. We’ll reiterate that the stock on Michigan State was already elevated before they covered both games this year. We are now the beneficiaries of said market perception, as the Spartans, a top-10 ranked side are taking back a number against unranked Washington. This sets off all sorts of alarms.

We can hypothesize what this price might have been if Michigan State’s recent results hadn’t been factored in. They may very well be taking back close to a touchdown here. Yet this will appear to be a value play to the naked eye. After all, Washington posted a disappointing 2021. This was a Huskies’ team that was ranked at one point and expected to be a player in the Pac-12 race; none of which came to fruition. The Huskies, like Michigan State, step into this game 2-0 both against the number and straight up, however, the wins came in similar home “warm-up” matches against Kent State and Portland State. However, the difference once again is the market credibility of both sides and their corresponding rankings. #9 Michigan State is expected to win this game because of what it has done in recent memory and because of where it's ranked. However, the linemakers are taking a strong position contrary to that notion and we too will follow suit. UW gets the W and does so emphatically.