Western Kentucky v Appalachian St
Western Kentucky +115 over Appalachian St

Pinnacle +111 BET365 +115 SportInteraction +115 BetOnline+112  Bookmaker  +115

Posted at 10:00 AM EST.

Western Kentucky +115 over App St

FAU Stadium – Boca Raton, FL

RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl

11:00 AM EST. Coming into this contest, the Mountaineers are a 10-win team and they are also 6-0 in bowl games since they joined the FBS. While buyers may see this as a bargain, we argue the opposite. This game could easily be priced as a pick-em but because of meaningless trends, which have no actual impact on the outcome, the ‘Toppers find themselves taking back a small tag.

There is also an element of market zig-zagging here. You see, Western Kentucky was heavily bet in the Conference USA Championship Game against UTSA which saw the Hilltoppers open as a small pooch before it jumped the fence and closed as a 3½-point choice. The efficient market was all over Western Kentucky but it didn’t work out in a 49-41 loss. The week before, the efficient market had faded Western Kentucky when they donkey-kicked the Thundering Herd 53-21. To recap, this is the third week in a row that the efficient market has gotten heavily involved in Western Kentucky’s game. It was fade them against Marshall (lose), get behind them against UTSA (lose) and now the fade is on once again. That, my friends, is what we call zig-zagging.

We’re going to suggest, much like Mid-Tenn State yesterday against Toledo, that one team (App State) had bigger aspirations this year so this game is nothing more than a consolation prizen for them. We are confident that Western Kentucky will not be showing up as formality, instead, they will be coming to Boca Raton with intent to make a statement against one of mid-major football's favorite sons. The number here suggests that they can do exactly that. WKU outright is the call.


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Our Pick

Western Kentucky +115 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.30)