Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 10:00 AM EST.
Tailgreeter Cure Bowl - Exploria Stadium – Orlando, FL
Coastal Carolina -11 over Northern Illinois
6:00 PM EST. Coastal Carolina has covered just once in their last six games but it goes a bit deeper than that. You see, the Chanticleers needed overtime to survive South Alabama who they were spotting 14½ points to at kickoff. Prior, the Chanticleers were nowhere near close to covering a 24½-point spread against Texas State where Coastal only created separation midway through the fourth quarter. Before that, Coastal was upset outright by Georgia State as a 13-point choice. Those recent results that round off the back end of Coastal Carolina’s schedule have encouraged buyers to hit the sell switch on the Chanticleers but take note that they were -14½, -24½ and -13 respectively. That promots us to hit the buy switch.
Unlike CC, the Huskies have been a great play all year long. NIU has staged not one, not two, but five outright upsets as an underdog this season, two of which were priced in the range of 13 points (at Toledo where they won 22-20) and 19 points (a one-point shocker to open their season at Georgia Tech). The Huskies recently staged an upset in the MAC Championship against Kent State as a 3½-point pup where NIU not only won but dominated in a 41-23 blowout that was pretty much done at halftime. They did that by keeping the Golden Flashes’ potent offense on the sideline with superb ball control, rushing for more than 200 yards for the fourth straight game. On paper, it looks beautiful to be taking back big points with a ball control team against a rather unknown but that's one of the hooks.
Trusth be told, CC isn’t some weak MAC team that cares not about playing defense. Statistically, this will be the best run defense NIU has faced, with Coastal ranking 37th nationally. CC brings a balanced offense that NIU won’t be able to get off the field. Furthermore, through portions of the regular season, the Chants were without their playmaking quarterback Winston McCall. He was unavailable when Coastal lost to Georgia State in November. McCall will be at the helm for this game but most importantly, the overachieving Huskies are getting way too much respect here, which provides us with this great opportunity to get the Chants at a true discount. NIU cannot keep up for four quarters.
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Coastal Carolina -11 -106 (Risking 2.12 units - To Win: 2.00)