Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 10:15 AM EST
California -2½ over OREGON ST
Reser Stadium – Corvallis, OR
Streaming: ON Fox Sports 1 in the Sports Group or in the Sports & Outdoor Group
3:30 PM EST. The Golden Bears and the Bruins were in a unique spot last week, as a series of postponements and cancellations enabled these two Golden State rivals to square off in a Sunday morning bout in Pasadena which has not been seen in recent memory. Besides that, the game started at noon EST on Sunday with most of the market concentrating on the upcoming slate of NFL games. In case you missed it, UCLA walloped Cal by a score of 34-10. Also incidentally, Cal was a -5 point favorite at close.
Cal opened as a six-point choice against the Beavers. The number began to crumble downward as soon as the line was first revealed in the latter stages of play between California and UCLA where the Bruin-led blowout was already underway. This essentially demonstrates an overreaction materializing before our very eyes.
What we have here is a case of the market putting too much emphasis on one result. The Golden Bears have played one lousy game and it came under extremely unusual circumstances. Cal goed from being a five-point choice over UCLA to a smaller choice over an inferior squad to the Bruins. Regular readers know we love what rising coaching star Justin Wilcox is building at Cal and now he gets to respond to an embarrassing loss at a heavily reduced tag.
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California -2½ -105 (Risking 2.10 units - To Win: 2.00)