Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 2:30 PM EST.
WYOMING -1 -105 over Hawaii
War Memorial Stadium – Laramie, WY
Streaming: On FS1 in the Sports Group.
9:45 PM EST. For the University of Hawaii, the logistics surrounding this spot is daunting to put it mildly. Last week, the Rainbow Warriors were taking back as much as six points before closing as a +2½-point pup when it took on the Fresno State Bulldogs on their own soil. To the delight of the market, the points weren’t needed as the Alohas won the game convincingly in a 34-19 victory over the Bulldogs after traveling across three time zones and 2,500 miles to do so. In their second week of action, Hawaii is now being asked to play on the road again after spending the entire week practicing in an indoor facility in Colorado.
We can appreciate the appeal of Hawaii, as they have seemingly picked up right where they left off last season when they finished with a 10-5 record and closed out their campaign with a bowl win over BYU. However, we would be remiss to highlight that Hawaii had an extended pre-season to prepare for their clash with Fresno State in “The Valley.” The dynamics surrounding this “back-to-back” are far more different. Hawaii comes into this contest off what would have to be considered a big win. There is a reason why the folks behind the number were reluctant to give Wyoming a field goal, as it is implicated that the Cowboys are primed to be a live dog. Then of course there are the elements themselves which further play into Wyoming’s hands. The forecast for this game is to see temperatures at or near freezing, which doesn’t fair potentially well for the guests who hail from a tropical climate. Nevertheless, the rising stock of Hawaii has caused the market to turn a blind eye. Furthermore, Fresno State kicked Colorado State’s ass last night, thus Hawaii’s win over Fresno last week suddenly looks even better. Unfortunately, that’s not how football math works.
Unlike the Warriors, the Cowboys come into this game on a lower note, as they were defeated on the road last Saturday in Reno, Nevada at the hands of the Wolf Pack. The Ragtimes closed as a three-point favorite but it was Nevada who went on to win the contest 37-34 in overtime. However, if one thing can be derived from all of the aforementioned variables, it is that the Cowboys have all the ingredients necessary to win outright but they now also offer substantial equity as a result of the results. In college football, it is Week 9 but in the Mountain West Conference it is Week 2. The point being, these two have played one game each and the market is putting too much emphasis on just one week of results.
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WYOMING -1 -105 (Risking 2.1 units - To Win: 2.00)