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Posted at 10:30 AM EST.

3:30 PM EST. The Bulls are 7-1, but it's hard to call them a good team. South Florida is certainly an undisciplined one, as Charlie Strong's first edition finished ahead of only Oregon in both penalties and penalty yardage last year, and once again ranks outside the top 100 past the midway point.

The defense is less than the sum of its parts, while the offense has little consistency and rarely musters a drive without benefit of explosive plays, which are about the only strength this team can really hang its hat on. Transfer quarterback Blake Barnett has been a quality addition, but he joined a unit with little existing leadership, and his off-field burden has been pretty heavy for a first-year player. South Florida's 7-0 start was forged against a very soft schedule that saw the Bulls outgained by more than 100 yards twice.

South Florida's seven wins have come against an FCS team and five programs that combined have won less than a third of their FBS games since the start of last year. This outfit is basically what it was last season: a poorly coached house of cards that's bailed out by some explosive playmakers. The difference between this year's team and the 2017 group is that the latter featured a truly generational athlete in record-setting quarterback Quinton Flowers, while the current roster has standard quality Florida talent. That's good, but not good enough for to cover this number unless in-game variance hits us over the head with a steel bat.

Tulane was 4-8 in Willie Fritz's first season, then 5-7 last year, narrowly missing a bowl berth due to a three-point loss to close out the season at SMU. The Green Wave run a gun option offense that Fritz and coordinator Doug Ruse brought from Georgia Southern, and it's lagged behind a decent defense so far in Fritz's tenure. The culprit has been mediocre quarterback play, and after incumbent starter Jonathan Banks lost two fumbles late in a loss to SMU, Fritz announced he was turning to LSU transfer Justin McMillan, who started for the first time Saturday in the Wave's 24-17 win at Tulsa.

McMillan didn't turn it over and ran for nearly 10 yards per carry, and the offensive line had its best game of the year. The switch to McMillan and the emergence of running back Corey Dauphine give this team a potent one-two punch and a chance to roll up 300 yards rushing in every game the rest of the year. At 3-5, Tulane will need to hold serve against East Carolina and Navy at home and beat either USF or Houston on the road to make the postseason. This is a salty lot with good chemistry, and even if they don't cover here, the Green Wave will go down swinging and make you feel good about backing them. This would normally be a money line play but we’re being a little cautious today after an 0-4 Friday night but it wouldn’t be a bad idea to use the Green Wave in some money line parlays.

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