Penn St. @ MICHIGAN
#406 MICHIGAN -13 -109 over Penn St.

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle -13 -109 BET 365 -13 -110 SportsInteraction -13 -110 5DIMES -13 -110

Posted at 10:30 AM EST.

3:45 PM EST. The 13 points being offered to a blue blood team that is ranked #14 in the country look really juicy to the unsuspecting in such a big game. When the oddsmakers hung up double-digits, one has to suspect they were very aware of where the money would land. Is there a ranked team in America that’s not playing Alabama getting anything close to this number? They probably could have hung a -10 or -10½ here and not swayed a single bet but they didn’t. Why?

There's a coaching adage that says that there's six players on the field besides the offensive line, and the offensive coordinator's job is to make them all dangerous. Some teams do that better than others, and one that's struggling currently is Penn State. At this point in the season, new playmakers are unlikely to emerge, and most offenses are stuck with what they have until bowl practices provide an extended opportunity for rest and development.

Running back Miles Sanders and top wideout KJ Hamler have been reasonably productive, but sparks from other playmakers have been scarce -- and this offense doesn't have enough threats beyond Trace McSorley right now. James Franklin called McSorley the best player in America after he returned from a second-quarter injury to lead his team past Iowa in the second half Saturday, and while he's played like an All-American, he's also been carrying this offense and will need more help if Penn State is to compete here. We don’t see that happening. The coaches will need to find something this week, because McSorley is ailing and it will take more than one credible offensive threat to put points on Michigan's defense. Trust us when we tell you that PSU was on the extreme of luck in its 30-24 victory last week against #18 Iowa. They needed break after break after break and they got it but chances are those calls and bounces (turnovers) won’t go their way this week at the Big House.

Over the past three seasons, the Wolverines have a reputation of failing in their biggest games and started this year not being able to shake that off with a loss to Notre Dame in the first week. However, Michigan would later go on to crush Wisconsin (38-13) and follow that up with a 14-point win over its in-state rivals two weeks ago and now the Wolverines will once again be in the spotlight in a big game that could ruin their season. This is a very winnable game that the Wolverines can win going away and we have no reservations whatsoever about giving the Nittany Lions this type of weight.

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Our Pick

#406 MICHIGAN -13 -109 (Risking 2.18 units - To Win: 2.00)