Boise State @ AIR FORCE
#204 AIR FORCE +10 -105 over Boise State

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Posted at 11:00 AM EST.

7:00 PM EST. Boise comes into this matchup with pedigree and a 5-2 record but might just be the most overvalued mid-major in the country. This current edition has no business whatsoever spotting this type of weight on the road to a very good football team. The Broncos have already lost to SDSU as a 13-point road favorite and got annihilated at Ok State by 23 points as a small underdog but for whatever reason, the numbers (point-spreads) have not caught up with Boise just yet, which provides us with another great opportunity. The Broncs have wins over UConn (one of the FBS’ worst teams), Troy, Wyoming, Nevada and Colorado State. Boise State’s 36-28 win over Colorado State occurred last week in an isolated Friday night affair that was witnessed by an overreacting market.

Air Force is 3-4 but they are a bounce or play away from being 6-1 or perhaps even 7-0. The Falcons lost by just six points to FAU and its potent offense. They lost by just four to SDSU and by just three to Nevada. They also pushed a great Utah State squad to the brim in a 42-32 loss. The Air Force defense was overmatched against the skill personnel of Florida Atlantic and Utah State, but the team as a whole did not look a bit out of place. Furthermore, those two games figures to have them better prepped to deal with Brett Rypien and the Boise State offense. Air Force’s stop unit is still its usual, salty self and this outfit has always been well coached, usually has good chemistry and is on the come up this season after finding its identity during a 1-2 start that featured two of the tougher matchups on their schedule. Air Force can compete here and we also like that the Broncos have BYU up next back in Boise next week

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Our Pick

#204 AIR FORCE +10 -105 (Risking 2.10 units - To Win: 2.00)