Maryland @ IOWA
#319 Maryland +9 -106 over IOWA

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle +9 -106 BET 365 +9 -110 SportsInteraction +9 -110 5DIMES +9 -110

Posted at 10:00 AM EST.

12:00 PM EST. One could get into a lot of bad habits when playing weaker competition and that applies to the Hawkeyes here, as they are going to have to do a lot better than wins over Indiana, Minnesota, Northern Iowa and Northern Illinois to get our support in spotting this type of weight to a decent program. This is a flawed line based on results, as Iowa cannot be -3 over Iowa State and then -9 over Maryland. They are even a bigger number here than they were against Minnesota. Not only have Maryland and Iowa not met since 2015, the Terrapins offense is radically different from anything even the older Iowa defenders have seen in their careers. Matt Canada's "motions and shifts" offense does feature a lot of confusing looks. There's a lot going on in the backfield when Maryland has the ball, and it's all designed to produce what Iowa generally yields very grudgingly -- explosive rushing plays.

This is a tough prep week for Iowa coaches, who have found themselves digging into film of Canada's offenses at Wisconsin, Pitt, N.C. State and LSU. The Iowa staff has a lot to figure out and communicate to the players, while Maryland coaches have the luxury that all the Iowa film from the past two decades is fundamentally similar. It's a battle of the known versus the unknown, and we expect the Maryland offense to put forth the best showing on the ground of any offense the Hawkeyes' third-ranked rush defense has faced this season, The Hawkeyes have just one rush over 20 yards all season and it appears as though the conditions are not ideal for throwing, as winds forecast to be in the 25 mph range. Iowa has some disadvantages to overcome in order to win this one by more than a score and we’re all over it.

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Our Pick

#319 Maryland +9 -106 (Risking 2.12 units - To Win: 2.00)