Miami @ FLORIDA ST
FLORIDA ST -6 -109 over Miami

Pinnacle  -6½ -109 BET365 -6½ -110 SportInteraction -6½ -110 BetOnline -6 ½ -109

Posted at 3:30 PM EST.

Streaming: ACC Network

FLORIDA ST -6½ over Miami

8:00 PM EST. The Hurricanes are on a seven-game win streak, with three of those wins coming against top 100 KenPom teams. Most importantly is that the ‘Canes are coming off a win over #2 Duke and now the market will pounce on them like there’s no tomorrow. We have often discussed getting behind a team a week too late in the NFL but it applies to every sport. If you get behind the underdog here, it may win but you are very late to the party. With three covers in their last four games including that exhilarating win over Duke, not only is a big letdown in play but what that victory does not tell you is that the Dukies turned the ball over 17 times (!) and lost by a bucket. The market will see a win over Duke, a 13-3 record and a bunch of big points being offered, Buyer beware.

Florida State is a very pedestrian 8-5. The Seminoles opened the season at No. 20 in the AP’s preseason poll but immediately dropped out with that 16-point loss at Florida, and haven’t been heard from since. In other words, this is the perfect time to buy their stock. This team has an All-ACC caliber player in 6-9 senior forward Malik Osborne, and it has taken time for two key transfers, 6-5 sophomore guard Caleb Mills (Houston) and 6-7 sophomore Cam’Ron Fletcher (Kentucky), to get comfortable. Not to mention that three very talented freshmen are playing double-digit minutes. This team simply has way too much talent and size for its stock to remain this low, especially in a weak ACC. Florida State has a 28-point loss to Purdue, a 22 point loss to Wake, a weak 1-point loss to South Carolina, who are a 14-point pooch to Tennessee today and the list of head-scratching performances goes on. Now ask yourself why the oddsmakers made FSU a price like this over a 13-3 Miami team that just beat #2 Duke.

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Our Pick

FLORIDA ST -6 -109 (Risking 2.18 units - To Win: 2.00)

 

 

NEBRASKA +7 -106 over Wisconsin
SANTA CLARA +130 over BYU
Southern Utah -6 -101 over PORTLAND ST