Maine @ STONY BROOK
Maine +15 -108 over STONY BROOK

Pinnacle  +15 -108 BET365 +15 -110 SportInteraction +15 -110 BetOnlin+15 -108 

Posted at 11:00 AM EST.

Maine +15½ -105 over STONY BROOK

2:00 PM EST. It’s not the biggest game on the board but it pays the same as Dallas or Philadelphia in the NFL and while Maine is not going to attract much attention here, this wager is more about fading a high-priced favorite in a bad spot. Furthermore, Stony Brook is due for some regression, thus, covering a big spot like this is going to be difficult. 

The first thing to note is that this is an 8-5 host playing a 3-9 team that is 0-7 on the road and that does not have a victory over a Division I program. All three of its wins came against Division II opponents. Maine is regarded as one of the worst teams in Division I but they play a slow-paced style and they don’t get blown out against teams like this. Recently, the Black Bears lost by just three to NJIT (who is first in the conference), to Rutgers by just 16 and to Merrimack by just two. 

Stony Brook has a massive game on deck against Vermont. They just escaped St. Peters by just one point and Bryant by just eight. The Seawolves have a lot of disturbing under the hood numbers that suggest much of its success, especially on defense, is luck-driven and unsustainable. For instance, they turn the ball over a ton but teams aren’t capitalizing against their undersized roster. In an unfavorable spot and as a 15½-point point favorite, it’s very common for an average team like Stony Brook to get caught napping when expectations to win are so great. These are teams that are not used to spotting big numbers like this and usually aren’t good enough to do so. A definite overlay

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Our Pick

Maine +15 -108 (Risking 2.16 units - To Win: 2.00)

 

 

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