South Dakota St @ STEPHEN F. AUSTIN
South Dakota St -1 -103 over STEPHEN F. AUSTIN

Pinnacle -1½ -193 BET365 -1½ -110 SportInteraction -1½ -110 BetOnline -1½ -110 Bookmaker -1½

Posted at 11:45 AM EST.

South Dakota St. -1½ over STEPHEN F. AUSTIN 

3:00 PM EST. Not only is Stephen F 2-0 and at home but this program has made a name for itself the past couple of years, which has their stock higher than it should be against this not so well known opponent. opponent. Two years ago, Stephen F went 19-1 in the Southland and gave the people of America one of the best moments in college basketball when it went into Cameron Indoor and upset Duke on a last second breakaway layup. SFA switched conferences this year, as it  moved from the Southland to the WAC after being the Southland’s most dominant team of the past decade. It seems a bit enticing to take the Lumberjacks here considering their recent pedigree and considering that they return four starters from last year’s squad and adds some powerful reinforcements from the DI and JUCO ranks.

South Dakota State has a 16-point win and a 16-point loss to start the year, however, the 16-point loss came against #14 Alabama while the win came against Bradley. Against Alabama, SDSU scored 88, which looks pretty on paper but they allowed 104, which doesn’t look pretty. However, SDSU is a Summit League power that is actually underpriced here. Oral Roberts may have stolen the show in the springtime but there’s a strong case to be made that these Jackrabbits were the best the Summit had to offer last year.

Noah Freidel back for SDSU is a massive boost to an already talented and deep lineup. The Jackbunnies return everyone and lost nobody. Last year, Freidel opted to sit out the last seven games to prioritize mental health, a commendable decision that warrants nothing but support. If Freidel returns to even 75% of his peak form last year, the Jackbunnies will be nearly impossible to beat in the Summit.

Don’t be seduced by the Stephen F hoopla. The Jacks are good but the Jackbunnies are the superior squad here. Their floor is extremely high, propped up by the stability of both roster and coach, collectively and oddsmakers did not err when they made SDSU a favorite. The market thinks otherwise, which rolls right into our wheelhouse. Incidentally, KenPom has SDSU ranked 50 positions higher than Stephen F and remember that 2-0 Lumberjacks’ record we mentioned at the start of this writeup? The two victories came against LSU Alexandria by nine and Mary Hardin-Baylor by 13. In other words, neither were blowouts.

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Our Pick

South Dakota St -1 -103 (Risking 2.06 units - To Win: 2.00)

 

 

ORAL ROBERTS +9 -110 over Oklahoma St