Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 2:00 PM EST.
Streaming: FOX Sports 1 (FS1)
Washington +10½ -110 over Stanford
9:00 PM EST. This game is being played in California but it will be in Santa Cruz at Kaiser Permanente Arena, thus, we’ll consider it a neutral site game but even if the game was in Stanford, we would still be playing the Huskies taking back these inflated points.
Stanford is a decent team to be sure but its last four wins came against CSU Northridge, Arizona by just 3, CSU Bakersfield and a weak Oregon State squad. Their best win this year came against Alabama but that was very early (Nov. 30) before the Tide found their footing. Stanford is just not built to blow out teams. Besides, this is more a play on Washington than it is a fade of Stanford.
The Huskies are 1-7. They have covered just twice this year in eight tries and when you are constantly failing to green up, the oddsmakers are forced to compensate because books get tired of paying off on the same fade game after game.
How can the state of Washington’s flagship athletic program be this bad? The Huskies might legitimately be the fourth best team in the state but that’s not for us to decide. Despite inserting Quade Green back in the point-guard saddle, Washington’s been disastrous on the offensive end of the floor. The supporting cast has left Green on an island: Hameir Wright and Jamal Bey offer little to nothing on the offensive end, Erik Stevenson and RaeQuan Battle can’t buy a three, and Nate Roberts is an unfortunate downgrade from Isaiah Stewart up front. Add it all up and it amounts to, well, almost nothing in the form of competent substance. It’s now time to buy low because the Huskies are priced like a meddling mid-major team at this point. They may very well be that abysmal, but blindly fading the Huskies from here on out is a fool’s errand, especially with conference play underway. Additionally, Mike Hopkins has been tinkering with a few different lineup concoctions right now, thus we’re going to bet that the trial-and-error period is over now that the stakes just got higher. This is a live dog that figures to pay off a few times before a correction follows.
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Washington +10½ -110 (Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)