Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 11:30 AM EST.
Jackson St -6 over ALABAMA ST
9:00 PM EST. This is truly a nothing game buried among the bunch today but we’re going to trust that we found something worth playing. What we have here is an 0-5 team spotting six road points to a team that has played just one game. Since the market and media puts way too much emphasis on the number of wins and losses a team has, the entire marketplace is not going to be able to justify spotting six road points with a winless team. What Jackson State’s record does not reveal is that the team has played the 24th toughest schedule in the country. Jackson State’s five losses were to Mississippi State, Mississippi, Louisiana Tech, Bradley and Iowa State. The Tigers are taking one of the greatest steps down in class this season when they face the Hornets of Alabama State.
Renowned LeBron James sidekick, Mo Williams, is the most recent former NBA hoopster taking his talents to the college ranks. The track record for former NBA players holding the clipboard in college is not great, but Juan Dixon’s mini boon at Coppin State is an encouraging precedent. Williams isn’t shy about boasting his bright eyed and bushy tailed demeanor. He’s giddy to hit the ground running, but choppy waters lie ahead of Williams in his first college coaching rodeo.
This anecdote sums up the daunting challenge ahead of a completely overhauled roster:
“It’s a whole new system. A whole new team,” Williams said. “We have eight new players.”
Implementing a brand new operation with brand new employees would take time at any company. Imagine setting that up at full speed in a COVID-constrained offseason. That’s what Williams is up against this year, a troubling omen for the Hornets who forfeited all of their non-conference tune-up games. In its first game of the year on Saturday, Alabama State lost by 17 to Grambling, a team that is absolutely inferior to Jackson State. The market is just not aware of the dynamics and misleading information regarding this one and we’re going to step in and try to take advantage of an extremely deflated price on the favorite.
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Jackson St -6½ -110 (Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)