Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 1:00 PM EST.
NORTHERN ARIZONA +9½ over Texas St
3:00 PM EST. It’s only been four games, but Northern Arizona has been absolutely blitzed by Arizona and UC Riverside and Colorado State by surrendering 52.0% three-point shooting while making just 22.5% on the offensive side. The Lumberjacks are now 0-4 straight up, 0-4 against the spread and are getting crushed by the number. The Lumberjacks have lost against the spread by margins of 6, 23, 18½ and 20 and now the books are forced to over-compensate.
The Texas State basketball program reached new heights under Danny Kaspar, who spent his entire 41-year coaching career in the Lonestar state. His Bobcats never finished near the top of the Sun Belt in each of the past two years and he led them to three 20+ win seasons, the only other of which for the program came in 1994. Kaspar taught a gritty style of basketball, one that emphasized toughness and the defensive end above all else. In September, Kaspar resigned his post as head coach amid an investigation into his use of racially insensitive use toward players. In his stead steps interim head coach Terrence Johnson, an assistant under Kaspar since 2015, former Samford assistant, and former AAU coach in the Houston area. Johnson steps in on relatively short notice.
Texas State cannot be a 9-point road favorite. This Sun Belt team just played Denver and won by 2. They played Texas A&M CC and scored 51 points in a five-point win. They also beat Incarnate Wood along with a Division II team but they lost to Lady of Lake, another Division II team. Win or lose, the value on Nortern Arizona is outstanding.
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NORTHERN ARIZONA +9½ over -106 (Risking 2.12 units - To Win: 2.00)