Penn State @ PURDUE
PURDUE -5 -110 over Penn State

Pinnacle -5 -112 BET365 -5 -110 SportsInteraction -5 -110 5DIMES -5 -110 888Sport -5 -114

Posted at 4:45 PM EST

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PURDUE -5 -110 over Penn State

6:30 PM EST. Let's set the table for this one with the recent run of success by the Nittany Lions. Penn State has won six straight Big Ten games, which is its longest streak since joining the conference in 1992. PSU is ranked #13 in the nation and trails Maryland by just one game for tops in the Big Ten after taking out Minnesota 73-67 on Saturday. With all that said, how can be taking back such a significant margin against a perceived middle of the pack side like Purdue? Well, we’re here to tell you that the chalk is anything but middle of the pack. The Boilermakers are 7-6 in league play and 14-10 overall, but it must be noted that they have played a much tougher non-conference schedule than PSU (300-to-76). When you factor in their Big Ten brothers, Purdue has played the sixth toughest schedule in America. Last Wednesday, they made 19 3s and put up 104 points in a 36-point win over Iowa and then went into Indiana and won by double digits.  

The Nittany Lions are a ranked team taking back points against an unranked opponent but the goods under the hood tell a much different story. On KenPom, which uses advanced stats to rank these teams, has unranked Purdue as the #14 team in college hoops, while Penn State is #15. When you consider that information, this line is much easier to understand. The Boilermakers are a great team, but they are not viewed that way in the market and that provides us with an opportunity to get the host at a true discount here. Penn State’s stock is soaring at the moment with plenty of press this past week, thus making this the perfect time to sell.  

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Our Pick

PURDUE -5 -110 (Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)