Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 3:30 PM EST.
9:00 PM EST. This line is going to be a head turner to the casual observers in the market, as the #20 Hawkeyes are taking back points on the road against an Indiana squad that they are looking down at in both the overall and Big Ten standings. What makes it even more of a head-scratcher is that Iowa is coming off arguably its best win of the season after downing #7 Michigan on Monday night and the Hoosiers are limping into this game after one of their top scorers, Juwan Morgan was injured last time out. Morgan is expected to play tonight, but his sore shoulder is mainstream news in the Hoosier State. However, as we often preach, these team's resumes are not created equal
For Iowa, its 17-5 record was significantly aided by a trip to the cupcake buffet before the rigors of conference play began. The Hawkeyes have played the 24th weakest non-conference schedule in the nation of the 353 rated schools on KenPom. That run of opponents was so toothless that Iowa has only lost to its Big Ten brothers and that it is a much more pedestrian 6-5 in conference play should be no surprise. It's easy to forget that Indiana was 12-2 before the injury bug bit it, but there is no shame in a 1-7 run when you are playing the seventh-toughest itinerary in America. Polls be damned, the oddsmakers got this one right when they made IU the chalk and we're not going to pass up the underpriced Hoosiers on their home court.
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#650 INDIANA -2½ -110 (Risking 2.20 units - To Win: 2.00)