Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 1:15 PM EST.
7:00 PM EST. Eastern Michigan went into Western Michigan this past weekend and blasted the Broncos by 26 points. The market is not putting much weight into that win because WMU is 0-7 in the conference and has just six wins in 20 games. We’re not going to put much weight on that win either but we suggest EMU on the weekend, citing that they are one of the most undervalued teams in the country. That hasn’t changed with a win over WMU but it does give the Eagles a big boost of confidence and now they’ll play a team that isn’t much better than WMU. What’s so beautiful about this game is that both EMU and CMU are 3-4 in the conference. Also, CMU has a 14-6 overall record while EMU is 9-11 overall and as a result, we once again get the superior team plus a tag. We stated on Saturday that there are profits to be made with EMU, thus, we’re not going to relent.
Central Michigan’s record was built on playing the 341st ranked (out of 353 teams) out-of-conference, strength of schedule. Three of CMU’s 14 wins came against Division II schools while three others came against Youngstown State, San Jose St (3-16 overall) and Jackson State. The win over San Jose St was by 2 points. The Chippewas continue to have one of the worst defensive teams in America and we saw what EMU did to WMU on Saturday, which is another squad that plays piss-poor defense.
Despite its 9-11 overall record and 3-4 conference mark, Eastern Michigan might actually be the best team in the MAC West division. A closer look shows that they have taken their lumps by playing the toughest non-conference schedule of any MAC team (11th according to KenPom). EMU has played the likes of Duke, Kansas, TCU and of course Buffalo (twice). Some publications have the Bulls ranked as high as the 14th best team in America right now. The Eagles have the best frontcourt in the MAC, a capable point guard, and a menacing defense. The Chips have nothing close to that combination but because both teams are 3-4 in the conference and EMU has a worse overall record, we get them still carrying tremendous value.
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#609 Eastern Michigan +128 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.56)