Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 2:35 PM EST.
9:00 PM EST. Wisconsin downed the last undefeated team in the country last Saturday when it beat Michigan by double digits 64-54 in Madison. A signature win like that is going to carry a lot of weight in the market for a Badgers side that is one of the blue bloods of the Big Ten. Wisconsin has shown a propensity for big letdowns and this one is as big as it gets. They now go from being a pooch the last two games to spotting a price on the road at a perceived dreg. We also cannot ignore the Badgers entire body of work, which includes notable losses as the betting favorite against Purdue, Minnesota and Western Kentucky.
Illinois is coming off a big 95-71 loss at Iowa, which dropped its record to just 5-13. The lack of wins can mostly be attributed to a hellish schedule that ranks fourth in the nation according to KenPom. This is head coach Brad Underwood's second season in Champaign and he was hired to deploy his aggressive offensive system, but last year he was trying to bash square pegs into round holes and so the Illini struggled and won just four Big Ten games. We've already seen what the Illini can do when everything is clicking after it beat Minnesota 95-68. The Illini are a much tougher team at home than they are on the road, as all five of their wins have come at the State Farm Center and it’s also worth noting that the Illini is starting to get outstanding guard play, which is a major key at this level. A money line bet is also worth looking at but we’ll play it conservatively.
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#827 ILLINOIS +4 -108 (Risking 2.16 units - To Win: 2.00)