Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 12:30 PM EST.
7:00 PM EST. The Wildcats are ranked #8 in the country, they already have an eight-point home win over another college basketball blue blood in North Carolina, they have won four in a row and they’re coming off a two-point road win over #14 Auburn this past weekend. The Wildcats are completely legit but they are not unbeatable, as they are the third-youngest team in the country and it was disruptive to lose sophomore guard Quade Green to a mid-season transfer although his departure helped clear the decks on the rotation. Kentucky has losses to Seton Hall and Alabama and they got destroyed by Duke but this market is ignoring that because these college basketball juggernauts always get the benefit of the doubt. Don’t get us wrong, Kentucky is a top-10 team but they are not worthy of being this price against one of the country’s most undervalued squads and it’s also worth noting that a date with Kansas is on deck.
For a team that has been ranked every week and has some notable wins over Dayton (road), Clemson (neutral), Florida (home) and Cincinnati (home), the Bulldogs are generating absolutely no buzz. That is going to change at some point. State is just 2-2 in conference play but that works in our favor because had they gone 4-0, we’d be getting three less points here. The Bulldogs could just as easily be 4-0 in conference play, as they have an OT loss at South Carolina and lost to Ole Miss by just four. We usually think of Ben Howland’s teams as less than entertaining, but this one ranks 20th nationally in offensive efficiency. Senior guard Quinndary Weatherspoon is one of the better two-way players in the country and we’re strongly suggesting that the Bulldogs can win this one outright or hang around the entire game. If not, we’ll come right back on them against Auburn next time out. There is money to be made on the Bulldogs and we’ll put that to the test here.
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#604 Mississippi St +7 -104 (Risking 2.08 units - To Win: 2.00)