Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 11:25 AM EST.
Southeast Conference - FINALS - Scottrade Center in ST. Louis, Missouri
1:00 PM EST. There are not a lot of games on the NCAAB board today so we’re looking for the biggest overreactions from Saturday’s card to fade today. In that regard, the Kentucky Wildcats need no introductions and will attract a boatload of attention today. Don’t get us wrong, as the Wildcats are a dangerous team that could do some serious damage at the main event but they could also get knocked out in the first round because that’s the type of team they are. What stands out most, however, is that Kentucky was small 4-point choice yesterday over Alabama and destroyed the Crimson Tide in an easy gate to wire blowout. That was a highly viewed, early game yesterday that absolutely influences today’s price. The Wildcats may indeed be dangerous but the’re also a young and erratic team that had both impressive winning streaks and ugly losing streaks while the Vols are none of the above.
Kentucky put up 86 points yesterday in its 86-63 win over ‘Bama. They have now scored 86 or more in three of it last five games but will now play one of the best defenses in the country here. Tennessee ranks 3rd in defensive efficiency and when a team plays great defense, it always gives them a chance to win regardless of what the offense does. You see, if Kentucky doesn’t hit a high percentage of their shots, they instantly become vulnerable while the Vols are dangerous regardless of whether they hit a high percentage of shots or not. Perhaps most importantly is that very quietly, the Vols offense is starting to peak at precisely the right moment. The Vols offense was sharp yesterday and sharp in the final few games too. This is a team that can win 62-55 or 85-80 if need be. As the main event nears, keep this dangerous seed (the Vols) in mind when filling in your brackets and strongly consider betting them today, as they are being sold short here against a team they can and should beat. The blue-blood Wildcats are being overbet today by a public that watched them destroy the Tide yesterday and we’re the beneficiaries of that market overreaction.
Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.
Tennessee -2 -101 (Risking 2.02 units - To Win: 2.00)