Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 12:00 PM EST.
4:00 PM EST. Regardless of what happens today or next week in the AAC tournament, the #25 Houston Cougars are going dancing. CBS Sports' Bracketology breakdown has the Cougars slotted into a #6 seed in the NCAA Tournament. Motivation is going to be an issue for the Cougars today, despite it being senior day at Hofheinz Pavilion. Houston is well known in the market, and you are often going to pay a premium to back a ranked team when they face unranked competition. That fact is highlighted further when you consider this is the largest number oddsmakers have asked either of these schools to spot when facing on another since the AAC rose from the ashes of the old Big East. It's hard enough to cover a big number when the side you’re backing is all in, but in these meaningless late-season games that risk is even greater.
It's been a disappointing year on and off the court for the Huskies, but we are in the buy low business and this squad fits the bill today. At 14-16, the Huskies only chance to feel the Madness will be through the conference tournament, but a strong showing against a top-25 school would go a long way to building some confidence before that grind begins in Orlando on Thursday. The Huskies are heating up at the right time as the long ball is finally starting to drop. After scoring double-digit 3-pointers in just three of its first 25 games, UConn has knocked down 10 or more treys in four of their last five contests. If the Huskies continue their hot shooting, they should easily bring this one in under the number and there is also a great chance of a back-door cover if the Huskies are down by more than the points being offered here. You see, on Senior Day, the coach will start pulling the seniors off the floor one at a time so that the fan base can single them out to an ovation. Focus now turns to that instead of the scoreboard. Trust us that the players know the point-spread and this one alone should motivate every player and coach on the Huskies. It’s insulting.
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#823 Connecticut +14½ -104 (Risking 2.08 units - To Win: 2.00)