Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 1:00 PM EST.
7:00 PM EST. The Scarlet Knights are coming off a 61-51 road loss at Maryland last time out but they did cover as a double-digit dog. It's that price versus the Terrapins that peaks our interest here, as recent struggles by their opposition tonight has the Knights taking back a similar price against the Buckeyes as it did against the Terps. That is not right. In other words, Rutgers cannot be taking back 15½ against Maryland and then less here in its second consecutive road game. The Scarlet Knights are a complete mess on the road. They have regular road losses of 25 points or more and that’s when the games meant something. They are used to getting whacked on the road and probably expect to at this point. We can’t find a single reason to expect anything different but another 20+ point loss. That is who the Scarlet Knights are.
Ohio State has much to play for after a poor recent run has the Buckeyes a game back of Michigan State for the top spot in the Big Ten. A 79-56 loss in Happy Valley against the Nittany Lions two games ago has seemingly soured the market on OSU, and a 12-point defeat at the hands of rival Michigan to follow that effort won't do much to garner much interest either. That's just fine with us, as we get a discount on a top side in a foul mood. Further motivating the Buckeyes to finish strong is the fact the top four teams in the Big Ten get a double bye in the conference tournament. OSU is tied for second with Purdue at 13-3 while Nebraska and Michigan are in close pursuit at 11-5. While the back-to-back losses might scare off the market, we can forgive both of those defeats, as it's hard to finish on the road in the NCAA. In its last home game, OSU was a 14½-point favorite over Iowa and covered that number without issue in an 82-64 win. Tonight, oddsmakers are now asking the Buckeyes to spot a similar price against Rutgers, which is much worse than Iowa. KenPom has the Hawkeyes ranked 99th while the Scarlet Knights are ranked 148th. The Buckeyes are 17th after playing the 39th toughest schedule in the nation. OSU takes a big step down in competition tonight, and we trust they will have no problem putting away one of the weakest road squads in college hoops. Grab the sledgehammer. It's time to bring it down hard.
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#506 OHIO STATE -14½ -106 (Risking 2.12 units - To Win: 2.00)