Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 1:45 PM EST.
11:00 PM EST. The Lions of Loyola Marymount have little to no market presence and their 6-15 record isn't likely to help them gain any traction. This play isn't really about this squad anyway, although, the Lions have just one win since December 17th which certainly looks bad but those less than stellar results have LMU undervalued on its home floor.
BYU is third in the WCC with a 7-3 conference record and an 18-5 overall record. Along with Gonzaga and Saint Mary's, the Cougars are a known mid-major with market appeal. BYU's value is further inflated by a 5-1 record over its last six games. That recent winning percentage looks nice on paper, but the Cougars have been feasting on the bottom feeders of the WCC. While their lone defeat came to first place Saint Mary's, BYU was unable to keep it close and lost 75-62. That defeat to a ranked opponent might be acceptable in the market, but the Cougars are running out of time to get quality wins. With just two decent teams in their conference, opportunities do not come around very often, especially when you load your non-conference schedule with cupcakes. BYU has played just the 186th toughest schedule in the nation.
These two schools met two weeks ago in Provo, and the Cougars barely covered in a 15-point win as a -14½-point favorite. Since then, all the Lions have done is lost, while BYU appears to be rolling. However, with a huge game on deck at Gonzaga on Saturday, this is a bad spot for the Cougars to be spotting double digits. That contest against the 'Zags will also be nationally televised which makes tonight's game seem even less important. BYU is desperate for a signature win, but they cannot accomplish that feat tonight, which provides us with a beautiful spot to take back some big points. BYU’s big game is on deck while this is LMU’s big game. That matters.
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#570 LOYOLA MARYMOUNT +10 -108 (Risking 2.16 units - To Win: 2.00)