Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 3:00 PM EST.
9:00 PM EST. The Horned Frogs are still ranked (#25), but that could all change today after a 1-1 week that culminated in a 73-68 road loss at Kansas State on Saturday. It was TCU's fourth loss in five games, and the Frogs' stock is plummeting much like their place in the Top-25, which peaked at #10 in the AP Poll, and #8 in the coaches poll just a month ago. While TCU did not get the win, there were many positives to take from that game at K-State. Firstly, TCU played without star guard Jaylen Fisher, who is out after season-ending knee surgery. Second, although TCU dug itself an early hole at K-State, it did not roll over and still had a chance to win, but could not get over the hump late. Even without Fisher, TCU is a very talented squad, especially down low with forwarding Vladimir Brodziansky, who leads the team in scoring with 15.4 points per game. Vladdy has been even better in conference play, as he's putting up 18.7 PPG. Finally, the Frogs are quietly sixth in the nation in scoring offense and 10th in field goal percentage, and they've done it while playing the 20th toughest schedule in the country.
West Virginia is the #7 team in America, and they are coming off an 86-51 dismantling of Texas. The Mountaineers have an impressive 16-3 record, but most of those wins have come at home as "Press" Virginia has played all but five of its games in the comfortable confines of WVU Coliseum. Many of West Virginia's early season wins came over cupcakes like American, Morgan State, Marist, Coppin State and others. When facing quality competition, it's been a rougher road for WVU, as it's just 2-2 against schools currently ranked in the Top-25. That includes two straight losses to Texas Tech and Kansas respectively.
While TCU's current run looks bad on paper, a closer look shows that this team is going shot-for-shot with some of the best teams in the NCAA. The Frogs are 0-2 against #4 Oklahoma with those losses coming by a combined six points. TCU went toe-to-toe with Kansas in an 88-84 defeat, and that game marks the only other time this season that TCU has been priced as a pooch at home. That respect from the oddsmakers has not gone unnoticed on our end, as Schollmaier Arena is a tough place to win. In college hoops, we are always looking for undervalued hosts, and we believe we've done that here, as TCU has all of the tools to win this game. We see this as an opportunity to sell high on West Virginia after that 35-point win over Texas, as the Mountaineers have a huge home game on deck against Kentucky on Saturday and may get caught looking ahead in a bad spot tonight.
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#730 TCU +139 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.78)