Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 11:15 AM EST.
12:00 PM EST. We're not going to go into a lot of detail here as this is simply a play on over and under-reactions based on these two school's last games. Firstly, you are going to pay inflated prices whenever you back a ranked school against an unranked program, and that's especially true when it involves the #1 team in the nation. Last time out, Villanova destroyed Georgetown 86-56 to run its winning streak to four games with a 17-1 overall record, which included an 89-65 drubbing of #12 Xavier.
While the Wildcats are laying waste to everything in their path, the Huskies are coming off a game where they were on the wrong side of an embarrassing 73-49 loss at Memphis, but with this huge home game on deck, we can forgive UConn for looking ahead to this spot. The Huskies were also without leading scorer Terry Larrier in that game.
As 'Nova continues to rack up the wins against the AAU, we've seen its price increase every night. The Wildcats were -9½ over Xavier and won easy, then -11½ at St. John's, and finally -12½ in that 32-point win over the Hoyas. There is value in this number, as the Huskies are priced in a similar range as both DePaul and St. Joe's were when the Wildcats came to town, and that is not right. The Huskies were national champions just four years ago, and while they didn't make the tournament in an injury-plagued year last season, they are still college basketball royalty and are being disrespected here. The Huskies are capable of bringing this one in well under the number but most importantly, the points offered here are as inflated as any on the board today.
Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.
#524 UCONN +15½ -110 (Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)