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Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Dallas +13½ -110 over Minnesota

7:30 PM EST Minnesota just posted a dominant offensive performance, and Dallas is coming off a double-digit loss, which naturally stretches this line. Dallas still ranks in the middle of the league offensively, shoots a respectable percentage from the field, and has enough scoring balance to avoid complete no-shows. Even in losses, their offensive efficiency often keeps them within striking distance late — and that’s all you need when holding this many points.

The Minnesota Timberwolves deserve credit for their strong season and top-tier offensive production, but their defensive profile doesn’t consistently support blowout margins. They allow solid shooting percentages and can give up second-chance opportunities on the glass. When favored by a large number, pace becomes critical. If Minnesota builds an early lead, there’s always the possibility of rotational minutes in the fourth quarter, opening the back door for a cover. Dallas, despite its record, competes on the boards and forces turnovers at a decent rate — two factors that help underdogs hang around inside big spreads.

From a value perspective, this number reflects perception more than matchup reality. Minnesota’s recent form and superior record will attract public money, inflating the line beyond the true separation between these teams. Dallas may not be positioned to win outright, but covering double digits requires sustained dominance for 48 minutes — something that’s difficult to maintain in today’s NBA. With scoring depth on both sides and natural variance from three-point range, the cushion becomes the most important asset. Taking Dallas plus the points is the sharper side when the spread stretches this far.

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