Pinnacle +140 BET365 +135 Sportsinteraction +135 888Sport +135

Posted at 1:00 PM ET. Odds are subject to change.

Orlando +140 ML over Golden State

Chase Center – San Francisco, CA

10:00 PM ET. We love a good head-scratching number, and this one fits the bill. Golden State got absolutely worked by Phoenix on Friday, losing 130-105 as a 2.5-point underdog. Naturally, the market will dismiss this as just a bad night against a superior Suns team. And against an Orlando squad that is 9-17 on the road and has lost eight of its last nine overall, the Warriors should theoretically cruise here. So why aren’t they favored by more than a single three-pointer? That, friends, is the question.

Orlando’s road record is indeed grim—losers of six straight away from home, most by double digits, including defeats to Utah, Portland, and Toronto. Yikes. The case for Golden State seems obvious, but let’s take a closer look. The Magic may struggle on the road, but they are an absolute nightmare matchup for what Golden State wants to do. They rank second in the league in rebounding defense, first in limiting three-point attempts and makes, and second in scoring defense (allowing just 105.4 PPG). They also rank near the top in assists allowed, turnovers forced, and blocked shots. In other words, they have the defensive chops to disrupt everything the Warriors rely on offensively.

The oddsmakers aren’t buying Golden State here, and neither are we. When a team struggling on the road is still priced like a live dog, you take notice. We’ll gladly grab the plus-money price with Orlando to steal one in the Bay.

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