Pinnacle +193 BET365 +190  Sportsinteraction +190 888Sport +190

Posted at 9:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change.

Washington +193 over Toronto Capital One Arena – Washington, D.C.

7:00 PM ET. Another NBA season, another stretch of basketball misery from the Washington Wizards. If mediocrity were an art form, they’d be Picasso—except instead of revolutionary brilliance, they specialize in turnovers, defensive breakdowns, and decisions that make you wonder if the front office is running some kind of psychological experiment on D.C. sports fans.

The Wizards are stacking losses like they’re collecting NFTs—except these are actually worthless. Their knack for turning winnable games into gut-wrenching collapses has become an elite form of self-sabotage. At this point, they’ve turned "fourth-quarter meltdowns" into a legitimate franchise tradition.

Defensively, Washington’s strategy seems to be equal parts wishful thinking and divine intervention—neither of which has worked. Opponents routinely post career-highs against them, making the Wizards the NBA’s version of a participation trophy.

Given their track record of getting blown out, why is Washington only a +7 underdog? This is the first time in over three weeks that the Wizards have been priced in single digits, despite routinely losing by 15+ points. That alone raises some eyebrows.

Let’s be real—the Wizards haven’t been rewarding bettors, either. At 17-26-2 ATS, they’re one of the worst covering teams in the NBA. Their overall record? A league-worst 6-39, with an average losing margin of 14.5 points per game. They’ve failed to cover in four of their last five, even when catching spreads of 13, 13.5, 14.5, and 17.5 points—most recently at Dallas on Monday.

Toronto, on the other hand, is one of the NBA’s best covering teams at 27-18-1 ATS. They’ve covered in four straight games and have dominated Washington historically, winning eight of the last ten meetings while going 8-2 ATS in those matchups. All signs point to the Raptors being in a position to lay an inflated number here, while Washington, by contrast, appears undervalued. And yet, they’re only getting seven points?

Let’s be clear: trying to craft an argument for the Wizards winning this game is an uphill battle. This team is a dumpster fire. However, one undeniable trend stands out—Toronto has won just three road games all season (3-19), while five of Washington’s six total wins have come at home.

In rare moments of competence, the Wizards have actually pulled off some surprising home wins, including victories over Atlanta and Denver. More importantly, when they’ve been priced as single-digit home underdogs—as opposed to the massive spreads they usually face—they’ve been live. In fact, Washington has won four of their last five outright in this exact situation.

This line is waving a red flag. The Wizards are a mess, but the market suggests they have real upset potential here. Take the points if you like, but we're going for the kill. Wiz outright.

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For straight bets, if the team you back to win goes 17 Points ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.

For parlays and Same Game Parlays, if a team you have backed goes 17 Points ahead, this selection will be marked as won within My Bets, with the remaining selections left to run.

Here is a wager we were paid out early on that would eventually lose. 

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