Pinnacle -2 -105 BET365 -2 -110  Sportsinteraction -2 -110 888Sport -2 -110

Posted at 9:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change.

Indiana -2 over San Antonio

Accor Arena – Paris, France

12:00 PM ET. The NBA continues its push for global expansion, sending the Indiana Pacers and San Antonio Spurs to Paris as part of its international series. In their first matchup on Thursday, San Antonio dominated, scoring a staggering 140 points and blowing out Indiana by 30, despite the game being a three-point contest at halftime.

Yet, despite the lopsided result, Indiana has been installed as a two-point favorite for the rematch—a position that immediately grabs attention. Oddsmakers clearly believe the first game was an anomaly, holding firm with a similar line to the previous matchup (-2.5). A closer look at the data supports their stance. San Antonio was unbelievably efficient, shooting 60% from the field, 50% from three, and a perfect 100% from the free-throw line—an extraordinary trifecta that’s unlikely to be replicated. Indiana, meanwhile, shot a respectable 45% from the field but struggled from beyond the arc at 30%. Under normal circumstances, those figures would have kept the Pacers competitive, but San Antonio’s historic shooting night made any opponent irrelevant.

The line indicates the sportsbooks expect regression from the Spurs, and for good reason. Betting San Antonio here means chasing recent results, falling into a classic overreaction trap. The blowout win in Game 1 has inflated their perceived value, putting them squarely in a let-down spot. Indiana, on the other hand, is well-positioned to bounce back, and the oddsmakers’ confidence in pricing them as favorites reinforces this belief.

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