Chicago @ Milwaukee
Chicago +12 -105 over Milwaukee

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Posted at 2:30 PM EST.

Chicago +12½ -105 over Milwaukee

7:30 PM EST. Kudos to the Bucks for going into Chicago and not only winning, but flat out embarrassing the Bulls on Chicago's home floor. Milwaukee stepped up in the absence of Khris Middleton and shot the dang lights out at the United Center by going off for better than 50% both the field and 3-point land in Game 4 on Sunday afternoon. Milwaukee was just so amazing that we’ll leave all the slobbering to Shaq and Chuck and we’ll turn our attention to the downtrodden Bulls.

Da Bulls are on the brink of elimination after getting waffled by these Bucks in both Game 3 and Game 4 in Chicago. There is no way to sugarcoat it, it was U-G-L-Y, ugly. Game 3 saw the Bucks jump out to a 33-17 first-quarter lead from which they never had to look back. The Bulls did their part in that 111-81 drubbing by having one of the coldest nights of shooting we’ve seen in these playoffs, 33-of-84 from the field (39%) and 9-34 from downtown (26%). It doesn’t matter what court you are on, if you shoot that poorly, you have no shot. In Game 4, a bounceback was not in the cards, as the Bulls again stunk the joint out, just as bad as they had the game prior (33-of-84 for 39% and 9-36 from downtown (25%). Brutal shooting.

Now down 3-1, the Bulls will return to Milwaukee without Zach LaVine. The injury chasers are out, as this line has increased since its open. We’re willing to argue that his absence is no biggie. The Bulls played with a mishmash lineup that was riddled with injuries for weeks before the playoffs started. This is nothing new for them and a different look in an elimination game can’t hurt. As we’ve seen in these playoffs (sans Nets, of course), the close-out game has not been an easy one for the favorites.

The Bulls were double-digit dogs on the Bucks’ home floor in the first two games of this series and they did not look out of place in either, winning Game 2. Back in Chicago they were just +2½ and +4, in Game 3 and 4, respectively and got whacked by the Middleton-less Bucks. Now the Bulls are down LaVine, which is why the market has pounced on Milwaukee. Unlike most of the pundits, we are not going to try and predict what is going to happen in this game. We do not know if the Bucks will stay hot and the Bulls cold. If that happens again, yeah, Chicago is going to get its ass kicked. However, if there is just a slight correction to either of those sides, these inflated points are going to be nice to have in our back pockets.

Our Pick

Chicago +12 -105 (Risking 2.10 units - To Win: 2.00)