Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 1:15 PM EST & updated at 8:30 PM EST
9:05 PM EST. We’re not betting this now. Instead, we’ll wait until just before game time and decide what we’re going to do but no matter, Toronto figures to hold all the value here. The Raps opened as a -3-point fav but as soon as the news came across the wire that Kevin Durant practiced on Sunday, that number started to drop. KD is listed as questionable but we can almost guarantee that he’ll be in uniform today and when his status changes to “active”, we anticipate that the number will drop even more and probably down to a pick-em.
We cannot guarantee a Raptors win tonight but we can guarantee you that at -2½ or less, the Raps hold all the value. Clearly. Toronto has been the better team and frankly, the Warriors are even lucky to be alive after trailing by 16 at one point in the only game they won. Furthermore, if the Warriors were -5 or -5½ at home and have been the second best team by a wide margin, shouldn’t the Raptors be at the very least the same price at home? Of course they should but the Warriors market presence in the United States is so powerful and influential that the market cannot fathom the Warriors losing in five games or losing with KD, Steph and Klay Thompson all in the lineup at the same time. We’re after value and in that regard, it’s a no-brainer who to take. Yeah, KD is a game changer for sure but he’s not 100% and one wrong step and he’ll be watching from the rail again.
Again, we’re almost certain that KD will suit up and once he’s in uniform at the shootaround, this number will drop so we’ll update our official play about 8:30 PM or even later, as we pay close attention to the market.
Open an account today at and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks
TORONTO +101 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.02)