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Posted at 1:00 PM EST.

8:35 PM EST. The Cavaliers appear to have their backs up against the wall after two blowout losses in Boston, but this is the NBA and a series doesn't start until a team wins one on the road. This is not the first hole that LeBron James will have to dig his team out of, as the Cavs were dead to rights in the first round against the Pacers and bounced back big time and a repeat of something similar is not out of the question. That’s just fodder, however.

We’re in the value business and while we love what the Celtics have done and appreciate how dangerous they are and that they have the NBA’s best coach, that matters not for this game. What matters is value so allow us to explain. We’ll take you back to the last series in which the Celtics were a 9-point dog in their first game in Philadelphia and a 7½-point dog in Game 2, also in Philadelphia. The point is that the Cavs CANNOT be a smaller home favorite against the exact same team. This is clearly an overreaction to what the C’s did to the Cavs in Cleveland and we’re the beneficiaries of a short priced favorite. Remember, the Cavs destroyed Toronto in four straight games but had bad shooting nights in three of the four halves they played in Boston. This now becomes a great wager based on market overreactions and we’re on it.

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