Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 12:45 PM EST
UFC Fight Island 4 - Yas Island - Abu Dhabi, UAE
Irene Aldana +106 over Holly Holm
10:45 PM EST. Holly Holm is still one of the biggest and most well-known names in women's MMA, but we have to wonder how much longer "The Preacher's Daughter" will be able to ride the coattails of that huge upset over Ronda Rousey. That fight was nearly five years ago and you might be surprised to find out that Holm is just 3-5 since her career-defining win. Holm picked up the win in her last fight, which went to a decision against Raquel Pennington.
When comparing résumés, there is no doubt that Holm has faced the best fighters possible. Rousey, Miesha Tate, Valentina Shevchenko, Cris Cyborg and Amada Nunes, to name a few. A fight history like that will carry some weight to be sure, but it's worth noting that Holm is 38 and there are some treads on those tires, as she has been knocked silly by Nunes and was a punching bag in losses to Cyborg and Shevchenko. On the surface, this will look like a short price to back one of the great female fighters against a relatively unknown competitor.
Irene Aldana has been kicking around the UFC since 2016, but this is by far her most high profile fight to date. Aldana is coming off a first-round TKO of Ketlen Vieira back in December, which was a result that earned her a Performance of the Night bonus. It was her second post-fight cash in, as she also won "Fight of the Night" honors for her win over Lucie Pudilova at UFC 228 in September of 2018.
There is much to like about Aldana, but most of all, her aggressive approach to striking is tops. When Holm has struggled, it's been against women that can throw haymakers with the best of them. Well, we're ready to put Aldana in that elite group. She not only has the ability to go strike-for-strike Holm, but she has the power to finish her before the final horn. At +375, that wager is worthy of consideration. However, we'll play it safe and simply bet Aldana to walk away with the W.
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UFC Event 1 or 2 in the PPV (Day of Event Group)
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Irene Aldana +106 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.12)