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Posted at 12:45 PM EST

Niko Price +179 over Tim Means

Ultimate Fighting Championship - INTRUST Bank Arena, Wichita, Kansas, United States

9:45 PM EST. Tim Means has been a staple in the cage for a long time with his Octagon debut coming in 2012, but it's easy to overlook how long it took him to get to the UFC. Means had 19 professional fights under his belt, which adds a lot of tread to his tires. At 35, "The Dirty Bird" has 40 tilts to his name and those blows have seemingly started to add up, as he's lost three of his last five fights with the sixth being declared a "no contest" after Means landed two knees to the head of "Cowboy" Oliveira, while he was determined to be a grounded opponent. Oliveira would choke Means out in their rematch. Like many sports, recent results in the UFC are often overvalued, mainly if they come by spectacular fashion, as Tim Means' win over Ricky Rainey did on The Ultimate Fighter -- Heavy Hitters Finale last November. However, Tim Means is notorious for getting outworked and fighting down to his competition, as he did as a big favorite in decision losses to Sergio Moraes and Belal Muhammad respectively. The only thing you can count on with Tim Means is that he cannot be counted on at all.

Niko Price is dangerous and in a single moment can end this fight just as he did in his KO of Randy Brown and his submission finish of George Sullivan. Price has proven he can be one of the most dangerous offensive fighters at 170 pounds, but he has been criticized for his poor performance in his last fight against Abdul Razak Alhassan last September at UFC 228. However, a miserable weight cut and a sluggish camp could have been key contributors to that quick knockout loss. Price's stock has dropped since, as he was featured on Pay Per View the last time out and has now been relegated to the mid-card of a Fight Night, but that suits us just fine here. This is a classic "buy low, sell high" situation and the Price is absolutely right.

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