Posted at 1:00 PM EST. Odds subject to change.

Pinnacle -1½ +115 BET365 -1½ +115 Sportsinteraction -1½ +114 888Sport -1½ +115

Toronto -1½ +115 over Pittsburgh

6:35 PM EST. The Blue Jays are coming off a tough series against the Red Sox, where they suffered a four-game sweep and extended their losing streak to a season-high five games. Toronto will send Chris Bassitt (RHP - TOR) to the mound, who holds a record of 3-2 with a 5.18 ERA. That ERA is not pretty, but Bassitt has a first-pitch strike rate of 61.3%. Bassitt has 28 punchouts in his 33 innings, with his 7 K in 5.0 IP v the Mariners in his last start being his best effort despite not factoring into the decision. All that said, we're not really here to back the Blue Jays because we know what we're going to get; they can put up a crooked number on any night. What we are here to do is fade Rich Hill (LHP - PIT) and the Pirates.

Rich Hill has won three consecutive starts and carries a 3-2 record with a 4.18 ERA into this game. That might look serviceable, but Hill's xERA is an inflated 6.81, which shows his lack of quality despite his and the Bucs' fast start. Additionally, Hill has a bloated WHIP of 1.39, which means he's putting himself in a difficult spot more often than not. The Blue Jays are a top-10 team when hitting lefties, so it's time to see if Hill's winning record is legit. We write that with tongue in cheek because we know it is not. The Blue Jays are primed to feast tonight, which makes Toronto on the run line the prudent play.

Finnie

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