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-1½ +120-1½ +120 -1½ +120

Posted at 11:45 AM EST and odds are subject to change.

Cleveland -1½ +120 over Kansas City

8:10 PM EST. Old vs new, as Cody Morris (RHP - CLE) takes on Zack Greinke (RHP - KC), Morris will make his second career start while Greinke will labor to the mound to make his 510th career start. Greinke might have two or three more starts left in his career because nobody is signing him next year and besides that, he probably doesn’t even want to pitch anymore. Greinke comes off of injured reserve (tightness in his right forearm) to make this start. He has 64 K’s in 109 frames with an xERA of 5.02. If a pitcher isn't providing strikeouts and ratios, what value do they have? While Greinke can eat innings, with 5.2 IP per game started, he has six quality starts with a peak game of five strikeouts. Greinke used to be a WHIP asset with a career WHIP of 1.16, but he has the worst WHIP since 2016 and the third-highest of his career in 2022. It's hard to find many skills to have confidence in Greinke, other than the low BB%. Overall, the 2022 results haven't been fluky, with several poor underlying skills. Dude is done.

This is not the last time you’ll be hearing about Cody Morris. He’s an interesting cat. He’s not been able to stay healthy, thus he has missed significant time over the past three years, which is one of the reasons he’s not near the top of any top prospect lists.

Morris intrigued us so much that we went back and watched the shellacking the Mariners gave him in his first MLB start (2 IP, 2 ER, 2 BB, 3 K, 4 H and 1 HR in 54 pitches). The first item that caught our attention was projections of 10 K/9, 1.25 WHIP, and 3.75 ERA. Rarely does a prospect’s projection look this favorable. After watching his start, he has a dominant fastball but zero control over any of his other pitches. The lack of command is most likely from a shoulder injury that had him on the IL for most of the season. However, it is also quite possible that the nerves from making it to the big show got the best of him. We suggest that because he had decent command of his pitches in the minors (six walks in 21 innings with 39 K’s for Columbus).

Morris’ was an absolute monster this year in a small sample size at Triple-A with an 11.8% line-drive rate, 44.1% grounders, 7.5% BB%, 48.8% K%, 21.1% swing and miss rate, .122 oppBA, and a 1.92 xERA. Plain and simple the stuff here projects beyond mid-rotation into No. 2 starter atmosphere, but with a hard hedge against it until he can really show the ability to pop out of that dugout healthy every five days over at least a full season. Love the stuff so game to game, we really don’t have to worry about his ability to stick on the mound for an extended period of time. Facing the feeble Royals, this start for Morris is lined up well.

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