Today's Free Picks for
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Posted at 1:30 PM EST and are subject to change.
Cleveland -1½ -105 over Colorado
8:40 PM EST. Shane Bieber (RHP - CLE) has looked like a rotation anchor against LH bats so far in 2022 (1.65 ERA, 0.91 WHIP in 27 IP vL) due to elite command (26% K-BB%) that has driven his 3.55 xERA. With 68 K’s in 65 innings and a supported 15% swing & miss rate, Bieber is legit good. Of course, Coors takes no prisoners but that applies to Colorado’s blowup artist too.
Give us a hot team going into Colorado for the first time in a long time and we’re happy to bite, especially against Antonio Senzatela (RHP - COL), a starter that amassed the worst ERA (6.71) and WHIP (1.75) of any MLB starting pitcher who logged at least 120 IP the last time MLB had a “normal season”. This year, Senzatela is up to his old tricks with an awful 20 K’s in 41 innings, supported by his weak 7% swing & miss rate. Now add in a 35%/36%/29% groundball/line-drive/fly-ball rate at this unforgiving park, throw in an alarming 1.85 WHIP and Senzatela is in line to get blasted. He’s truly the worst fit possible for Coors Field.
Our Pick
Cleveland -1½ -105 (Risking 2.10 units - To Win: 2.00)