Milwaukee @ Atlanta
Milwaukee -110 over Atlanta

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Odds posted at 2:30 PM EST and are subject to change.

Milwaukee -110 over Atlanta

7:20 PM EST. Low on starting pitching bodies, the Braves are asking 38-year old journeyman Jess Chavez (RHP - ATL) to take the ball and do what he can. Chavez has been counting heads on bus trips to and from the hotels for years. He’ll bring a 8.9% swing and miss rate, and a 42% line-drive rate (the highest in the majors among pitchers with 10 or more innings) to this start against one of the hottest lineups in the game. He’s a career mop-up man.

The reason the price on the Crew is so low is because they are in Atlanta of course but also because the market does not trust that Eric Lauer (LHP - MIL) is as good as his numbers suggest. Lauer has started 74 games in his career prior to this year and never came close to putting up the numbers that he is now so why would the market trust him?

Truth be told, Lauer has been absolutely incredible thus far and it’s deserving. His velo is up near 2 ticks to 94.1 and it has paired with his slider to yield a brilliant 37% K rate and 5% BB rate in 23.1 IP. He has a BB/K split of 5/34, a WHIP under 1.00, and an xERA that fully supports his 1.93 ERA. The window to get Lauer at these cheap prices is running out. Buy now and buy some more.



Our Pick

Milwaukee -110 (Risking 2.20 units - To Win: 2.00)

Washington +128 over Houston
Kansas City +122 over Baltimore
Milwaukee -1½ +144 over St. Louis
San Diego -103 over Toronto