San Francisco @ Los Angeles
San Francisco +120 over Los Angeles

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Posted at 2:45 PM EST.

San Francisco +120 over Los Angeles

10:10 PM EST. Julio Urias (LHP - LAD) became MLB's only 20-game winner last year while swatting away concerns about being overused. His pinpoint control came with the best xBB% in majors (min. 100 IP), but we've seen one-year wonders before. Was that it? Urias' xERA, and his HR/F question another sub-3.00 ERA. In 18 frames this year, Urias looks shaky. He has walked eight batters while striking out 15 with a below average 8.6% swing and miss rate. With an xERA of 4.74 in his four starts, if you bet on Urias, you’d be doing so after a career year. That cannot be recommended but getting behind Carlos Rodon (LHP - SF) at this price can.

Carlos Rodon cannot be an underdog in this range. He’s coming off a brilliant season. This year you can add the word filthy to his brilliance. Rodon has 38 K’s in 23 innings with an off the charts swing and miss rate of 17% to go along with his xERA of 2.84. Yeah, he had a career year last year but the difference between him and Urias is that Rodon is completely legit while Urias is not close to being Rodon’s equal. Furthermore, Urias is favored.

Our Pick

San Francisco +120 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.40)

Baltimore -1 +185 over Seattle
Boston -1 +220 over Toronto