Kansas City @ Seattle
Seattle -1 +110 over Kansas City

BET365 -1½ +110 SportInteraction -1½ +110 Pinnacle -1½ +110

Posted at 12:00 PM EST.

Seattle -1½ +110 over Kansas City

4:10 PM EST. Robbie Ray (LHP - SEA) began the 2022 season as a popular candidate for regression given his prior control problems. After two starts, his control building blocks have been pristine (77% first-pitch strike rate, 31% ball%). However, batters have had no trouble hitting him hard and squaring him up (15.0% Barrel). In three starts covering 19 frames, he has walked seven and struck out 13 with a 4.19/4.96 ERA/xERA split. It’s not the best outlook but we do not care, as this is a straight fade against Carlos Hernandez (RHP - KC) and the Royals.

The Royals have lost three straight and are batting a combined .215 but even if they get to Robbie Ray here, Carlos Hernandez is not capable of a decent outing. Hernandez is truly what we call batting practice out there. He throws a straight fastball that is usually right down Broadway when it doesn’t miss the strike zone. In nine frames this year covering two starts, Hernadez has struck out one batter. His platoon splits are about as bad as it gets, showing severe areas of weakness against left-handed batters. That doesn’t bode well against a Mariners’ squad that can send out as many as six or seven left-handed bats. This is a bad pitcher disguised as a replacement level one. Now add in K.C.’s already taxed bullpen and the writing is on the wall for a convincing Mariners’ victory.

Our Pick

Seattle -1 +110 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.20)

Baltimore -1 +185 over Seattle
Boston -1 +220 over Toronto