L.A. Angels @ CHICAGO
L.A. Angels -1 +280 over CHICAGO

Pinnacle -1½ +280 BET365 -1½ +275 SportsInteraction +170 + BetOnlin+200 Bookmaker -1½

Posted at 12:00 PM EST. 

L.A. Angels -1½ +270 over CHICAGO

8:10 PM EST. Janson Junk (LHP - LAA) profiles as a back-of-the-rotation starter or middle-reliever, and he should get plenty of opportunity on an Angels staff in need of innings. Junk lasted four innings in his MLB debut last week and posted a 2.45/5.27 ERA/xERA split. We’re not expecting much out of him and will hope for four innings of three runs allowed or less. Point is, we don’t give a fuck who is pitching for the Halos because Dallas Keuchel (LHP - CHW) cannot be favored in this range. It’s absurd. 

Dallas Keuchel’s swing & miss rate was a dreadful 6.5% over his past 10 starts. The ball will be in play here, that is an absolute. His fastball tops off at 88 MPH but it is usually in the 86 MPH range. Keuchel has been hit- and strand-rate undone in posting a 10.53 ERA over his last five starts but it’s been earned after giving up a lot of hard contact also (41% since Aug. 1). That hard contact rate is the highest in the majors this year over a six-week span and it’s not even close. The Angels are at their best against LHPs (.741 OPS) but Keuchel is favored today like it’s 1981 and he’s LaMarr Hoyt.

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Our Pick

L.A. Angels -1 +280 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 5.60)