Cincinnati @ N.Y. METS
Cincinnati -1 +230 over N.Y. METS

Pinnacle N/A BET365 -1½ +230 SportsInteraction N/A BetOnlin-1½ +230 Bookmaker N/A

Posted at 1:30 PM EST. 

Cincinnati -1½ +230 over N.Y. METS

1:10 PM EST. In the spirit of sticking with it, we are going to come right back on the Reds today after they blew a 4-1 lead last night. Vladimir Gutierrez (RHP - CIN) will get the call, although this play has little to do with him.

The Mets comeback was spearheaded by the newly acquired Javier Baez, who hit a two run shot in his new digs. Marcus Stroman (RHP - NYM) will make his second start of the week after he was on the hook for the loss in Monday's double header, where he gave up two runs across five innings against the Braves. On paper, Stroman might look like a solid option today, but a closer look under the hood shows that he's living a bit of a charmed life, which makes spotting an inflated price like this a risky game. Dude's xERA is 4.40, much higher than his surface number (2.62). Stroman's giving up more hard hit ball now more than ever (42.3%) and an average swing and miss rate (11.6%) make the premium you are going to pay to back him today just too high. Overlay.

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Our Pick

Cincinnati -1 +230 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 4.60)