Kansas City @ TORONTO
Kansas City -1 +285 over TORONTO

Pinnacle -1½ +285 BET365 -1½ +275 SportsInteraction N/A BetOnlin-1½ +285 Bookmaker N/A

Posted at 1:30 PM EST. 

Kansas City -1½ +285 over TORONTO

7:10 PM EST. Daniel Lynch (RHP - KAN) has yet to hit his stride, but the tools are there for the young hurler. He's a big (6' 6", 190 lbs) throwing lefty that should probably strike out far more batters than he has up to this point. However, it appears to be coming together, as he pitched eight shutout innings last Sunday in a win over Detroit. The reality is, Lynch is not really the focus here. Fading a Toronto side that has been through a whirlwind week is the real target.

There might not be a bigger letdown spot on the calendar this season, as the Blue Jays finally return home to Toronto and the comfy confines of the SkyDome (fuck that Rogers Centre bullshit). The Jays have been nomads since the spring of 2020; that’s 670 days if we're counting. Expectations will undoubtedly be high for the fans that will return to the stands, but should Ross Stripling (RHP - TOR) really be spotting a price such as this? Last time we checked, this wasn't Sandy Koufax versus the 1962 Mets. As far as inflated prices go, this one is a doozy. Stripling does not have the profile to support this steep number. A 36% groundball rate will not serve him well in hitter friendly Toronto, nor will a flimsy 9.8% swing and miss rate. Furthering the Blue Jays appeal will be the perception that they were buyers at the deadline after picking up Jose Berrios from the Twins and Brad Hand to close. However, We'll leave that for another day. As for today, well. it's very simply a massive overlay.


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Our Pick

Kansas City -1 +285 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 5.70)